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Premier League Relegation Betting in Football – Ultimate Relegation Guide with Markets [2024/25]

Relegation betting can be found at many sports betting sites and it can be quite profitable. By correctly predicting the names of the teams to end up at the bottom of the standings, you can secure the bet. Before the season begins, you can use statistics to make an accurate prediction about the teams to finish inside the relegation zone. Also, check the latest Premier League odds before placing bets to understand the team’s performance. This betting article will help you better understand Premier League relegation betting strategies.

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What is Relegation Betting in Premier League?

The name is self-explanatory and it refers to the relegation from the Premier League, by predicting the teams to leave the top division. Those who finish at the bottom of the standings will be ejected from the top flight and will play in the Championship only next year.

Three teams are relegated every year and there will be no playout to give them a second chance. Finishing on a relegation spot automatically means the end of their Premier League presence, so the stakes are high.

How to Place a Premier League Relegation Bet Online?

Relegation betting is not rocket science and you can easily do it at most betting sites. We’ll use William Hill as an example, as it is one of the best odds bookmakers offering these types of sports betting.

The Premier League offer is the most popular, but the same terms and conditions apply to Championship relegation betting.

Step 1
Step 2
Access the outright Premier League betting page
Step 3
Pick the team you expect to relegate and the stakes
Step 4
Accept the Premier League relegation betting odds and place the bet
Step 5
Wait for the end of the season and cash in your wager

Premier League Relegation Markets Explained

Unlike rugby league relegation betting, EPL relegation markets are straightforward. There are 20 teams in the Premier League and three of them are relegated automatically. Even if you just learned how to bet on football, you can easily wager on these markets. There is no play out and if teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker.

Team not to Relegate

There are two possible options for the Premier League relegation betting markets. The easiest bet is for the team to survive the challenge and remain in the English top flight. The odds are lower, but you can use handicap betting and hedge against the risks throughout the season. In the second half of the standings, you can bet on the team to lose individual games in a basic form of arbitrage.

Team to Relegate

The obvious possibility is to bet on the team to relegate. This market is available to all mobile betting sites, and you win if the team finishes in the last three places. It is also possible to bet live and odds tracking sites will highlight odds shortening and drifting opportunities. This is a binary bet, so if you have accounts at betting exchanges, you can back or lay this market, as seen below:

Back all odds and lay all odds:

  • Southampton: 1.37/1.39
  • Leicester: 1.62/1.65 
  • Ipswich: 1.97 /1.99
  • Everton: 2.76 /2.92
  • Wolves: 3.15 /3.25

Team to Finish Last

An interesting variety with bigger odds is the bet on the team to finish rock bottom. You win significantly more, but the condition is to have the team conclude the season in the 20th place. This is a difficult bet to place at the start of the season, but that’s when it pays the best. Score difference remains the deciding factor if two teams are tied for the bottom place.

How to Do Football Relegation Betting Like a Pro

Premier League relegation betting odds give you the chance to win when a team loses a lot. This type of parlay betting is high-paying, as long as you can predict the team to be relegated. You need to be patient because the bets are locked until the end of the season. This newfound knowledge can help you bet on other leagues and make a profit, not only the top English championship.

Player transfers matter

Competition is intense in the English top division and the differences between teams are relatively low. There is a gap between those chasing the trophy and those involved in the battle to avoid relegation. The season is long and teams must have a strong starting formation and sufficient substitutes.

Betting odds of Premier League relegation depend heavily on the players brought in during the transfer window. For this type of underdog betting, you must single out football clubs with few quality substitutes. As the season progresses and pressure mounts, so do injuries. Teams that are unable to replace key players will likely be sent to the Championship.

Consider ownership changes

Complex betting strategies require attention to the less obvious factors. A change in ownership can weigh heavily when betting for Premier League relegation. New owners will try to deal with the things that didn’t work properly in the past. This requires investment, courage, and the willingness to make major changes at all levels.

It can take time even for good changes to deliver positive results. This can drive the relegation betting odds higher at live betting sites. If you are confident in the new ownership, take advantage of these drifting odds. In the short term, you can hedge against the risks by betting on the team to lose.

Managers are the Key

Some of the most important factors for Premier League relegation betting are the managers. In English football, they play an oversized role, as they do more than coach the teams. Some excellent sports betting tips revolve around managers saving teams from relegation.

Relegation football betting is a versatile market. You can bet on a team to be expelled to the lower league, or the team to remain in the English top flight. These relegation odds differ, so depending on the manager’s ability to save a team, you can place either bet. Experienced managers will find a way to do more with fewer resources, and work with what they’ve got.

Each League is Different

Relegation betting tips can be used for different championships. They work for different types of sports betting, but you must have a thorough understanding of the sport. The Premier League is highly competitive because even teams struggling in the second half of the tables are pretty good. Teams with a stronger defense are more likely to survive by scrapping points from top opponents.

If you want to make money betting on football adjust your strategy in the lower league. Teams with two quality strikers will pick up sufficient points from their neighbors in the standings. These direct matches are usually decisive to avoid relegation.

Keep an Eye on the Schedule

Online betting sites will publish the betting odds on Premiership relegation before the start of the season. If you check out the schedule, you can take advantage of higher odds after the season begins. If you believe a team will go to the lower league, hold your bets if it faces weak opponents early on. It will likely win some of the games and the odds will grow up.

EPL relegation betting is influenced by the busy schedules of some teams. Football clubs that perform well in English domestic cups but struggle in the EPL are great candidates. Good betting advice is to keep an eye on their schedule and see if fatigue and injuries will hurt their relegation chances.

Watch the fixtures

Premiership relegation betting is one of the straightforward betting terms. But sometimes appearances can be deceiving. Weak teams can have a slight advantage over their peers in the standings late in the season. This is when you should check out their fixtures as well as the schedules of their closest rivals. They might play against top Premier League teams so likely to lose most of the points.

By doing so, you can take advantage of superior betting odds, while factoring in likely results. Most sportsbooks will also use this knowledge when calculating the odds, but there is still value in this. The more teams are involved in the race to avoid relegation, the more complex the calculations.

Are Relegation Betting Odds Truly Important?

Everyone knows that the first rule if you want to learn how to win big on football bets and make money betting on football, is to bet at competitive odds. When it comes to relegation betting, the odds offered by football betting sites are not that important. Due to the competitive nature of the English First Division, teams facing relegation can often outdo it. There were many instances when teams expected to struggle to finish in the top half.

It is just as important to realize the potential of these teams, as it is to learn how to read soccer odds. The main challenge comes when doing relegation betting during the season. Sometimes a team has few points earned at that point, but an easier schedule than its counterparts.

This means that they can greatly improve their performance in the remaining rounds. This is the time to take a leap of faith. Claim higher Premier League relegation treble betting odds on these teams doomed to fail.

What to Expect From Newly Promoted Teams?

The Premier League is arguably the best championship in Europe. Newly promoted teams have a hard time adjusting to the level of play. Most punters consider them easy victims for established football clubs. The odds are not that great for them to relegate, so straight betting won’t produce bigger potential winning. Interestingly enough, just above 40% of newly promoted teams are relegated.

In the early games of the season, most of them play defensive football and try to scrap precious goals. Smart football betting strategies imply a form of underdog betting. You will find excellent odds at the best platforms for relegation betting, so you can hedge against the risks. Until you get a better sense of their quality, these markets are a good way to start.

The best sports betting exchanges offer relegation odds for other divisions. Championship relegation betting is more tricky, as roughly 20% of newly promoted teams are relegated. Percentages decrease by less than 40%, while the betting odds of relegation to League 1 grow accordingly. League 2 relegation betting is a fascinating affair because, in the last decade, no new team relegated in the first season.

Ante-Post vs. Mid-Season Betting

The traditional way of doing relegation betting is by wagering preseason. By doing so, you benefit from bigger odds, especially when betting on teams that finished the last season closer to the middle of the standings. This is recommended if you want to place a treble bet that includes other markets. Once the season begins, it is less likely for bookmakers to allow these combinations.

Mid-season betting has the advantage of giving players more useful information. Especially when it comes to the teams involved. You can factor in their results, look at the remaining matches, and make the right assumption. The odds are far more polarized, with bottom-placed teams being usually underpriced. You can take advantage of the situation and accept all odds movement if you expect better-placed teams to relegate. Accumulator bets are also accepted, so make sure you check our guide on how to win football accumulators.

Pros and Cons of Premier League Relegation

PROS

  • Great odds available for preseason.
  • You can bet during the year.
  • Accumulators are accepted.

CONS

  • Relegation betting carries higher risks.
  • You must wait until the end of the season

Capitalize on the relegated teams’ misfortune

Whether you are betting for fun or profit, you must know that relegation betting is all about identifying weaknesses. It means identifying teams that don’t perform as well and taking advantage of them. While it might sound coldhearted to bet on the misfortune of these teams, it can be profitable. There are plenty of things to consider when placing such a bet, with relatively little information.

When done right, Premier League relegation betting can lead to significant winnings, because of the high odds. Take the time to do the research and you will reap the rewards at the end of the season while enjoying an exciting football year.

Frequently Asked Questions About Relegation Betting

You can only bet on the teams be relegated at the end of the season. It is possible to bet on this outcome during the year, based on the teams’ performances.

Premier League relegation betting is just one option. There are other countries and championships available for this type of wagering also. British punters can also take advantage and avoid the betting tax UK.

No, there are vast relegation betting markets that you can find at UK bookies (and not only). These may imply a group of teams getting relegated or not, comparisons between two teams, and the chances of each one to survive against the other. You can even bet on the range of places in the standings where a certain team can finish the season.

It depends on the type of bet you are willing to make and the team you choose. You will generally get great odds for relegation betting, especially when betting before the start of the season.

The bottom three teams at the end of the season will automatically be relegated to the Championship. If two or more teams finish on equal points, the score difference will be the tie-breaker.

Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton, Liverpool, Manchester United, and Tottenham Hotspur never relegated. The odds are low but you can use them in system bets or accumulators.

Teams relegated from the Premier League are sent directly to the Championship. The top two teams from this division are promoted directly to the top flight and the next four compete in a playoff.